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Time Horizon

What is an investment time horizon?

An investment time horizon is the time period one expects to hold an investment. Time horizons can be specific if associated with a stated maturity, or generalised as either short-term, medium-term or long-term.

Time horizons are also usually associated with particular investment goals, strategies, and expectations. A time horizon might, for example, be tied to liquidity goals such as the purchase of a home, a child’s education expenses, or retirement. It might also relate to an investor’s specific expectations regarding the economy, inflation, or interest rates. Longer-term time horizons tend to span specific goals or economic expectations in favour of overarching objectives such as wealth accumulation and diversified investment management.  

Time horizons are important to private equity investors as they generally represent a commitment of 10-12 years.

Key Takeaways

  • Private equity is associated with medium-to-long-term time horizons, which can vary according to the type of strategy employed.
  • Longer time horizons provide investors with advantages such as access to unique and more complex investment strategies, as well as the ability to diversify their portfolio into a wider selection of asset classes.
  • The long-term strategies employed in private equity investments have resulted in historically higher returns than in public equities.
  • Moonfare offers a feature to its investors that can provide liquidity opportunities twice each year.

3 Types of Investment Time Horizons

The three categories of time horizons are described below. These should be taken as general guidelines rather than specific limits.

  • Short-term time horizons are those of 2-3 years or less. Investments with short-term horizons include Treasury Bills, bank CDs, and short-duration corporate bonds.
  • Medium-term horizons are those of 3-10 years. Medium term investments include public equities, medium-duration corporate or government bonds, commodities, and mutual funds or ETFs. 
  • Long-term time horizons are those of 10+ years. Investments with long-term horizons include venture capital, private equity, and real estate.

Understanding Private Equity Time Horizons

Private equity funds are typically expected to have a 10-12-year duration, with the possibility of extensions to 16 years or more for some assets in the fund. This places private equity squarely in the long-term horizon category. 

Within this overall time horizon, however, there are different stages of a private equity fund that offer periods of partial liquidity for investors through distributions they may receive during the harvesting period and through capital calls, which stretch out over the initial investment period as illustrated below.

A private equity investment's time horizon is generally 10-12 years with a possibility of extending even longer.

Time horizons in private equity will also vary by the type of investment strategy being implemented, the general partner’s approach, and market conditions. A buyout fund, for example, may already have its target company identified when initiating the fund, thus shortening the potential horizon, while a venture capital fund may require additional years to identify all the targets that meet the GPs criteria. 

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Also, a Secondary Fund that purchases private assets from other funds could have a time horizon as short as 7 years or so. The initial Investment Agreement between the limited partners and the GP should offer guidance on what type of time horizon investors should expect.

The longer-term time horizons associated with private equity are also characterised by periods of illiquidity. This illiquidity is pervasive across private equity investments due to the absence of a formal secondary market for private company shares; however, as shown in the chart below, this illiquidity has allowed private equity managers to pursue investment strategies that have historically resulted in higher returns.

Chart shows Global PE index has outperformed MSCI World Index in annualised returns 5-, 10-, 15-, and 20-year periods.
Source: Cambridge Associates, 30 June 2018; MSCI Equity Index alongside the internal rate of return for the Global Private Equity Index (pooled return), annualised over 5-, 10-, 15- and 20-year periods. Not an investable index. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Thus, while liquidity is desirable, investors generally pay for it with lower overall returns. In addition, the longer time horizons associated with private equity funds can hold other advantages for investors, such as increased portfolio diversification and risk mitigation. Private equity investors are also able to gain exposure to the innovative opportunities associated with venture capital and the value-added strategies associated with buyouts – strategies that are generally not available to public equity investors.

Moonfare’s Secondary Market

Moonfare has developed a feature for its investors to address the inherent illiquidity in its private equity funds. A semi-annual auction for secondary shares is made available through its online platform, in conjunction with institutional partner, Lexington Capital. While this does not guarantee liquidity for all Moonfare investors, it does offer an opportunity twice each year for investors to either sell some or all of their existing holdings or bid for additional shares from other investors.

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Important notice: This content is for informational purposes only. Moonfare does not provide investment advice. You should not construe any information or other material provided as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice. If you are unsure about anything, you should seek financial advice from an authorised advisor. Past performance is not a reliable guide to future returns. Don’t invest unless you’re prepared to lose all the money you invest. Private equity is a high-risk investment and you are unlikely to be protected if something goes wrong. Subject to eligibility. Please see https://www.moonfare.com/disclaimers.

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